Image Credit: State Emergency Service of Ukraine – CC BY 4.0/Wiki Commons

Ukrainian forces have opened a new front in the energy war, using long-range drones to plunge large swaths of Russian-occupied southern Ukraine into darkness in the depths of winter. Local occupation officials say the strikes severed key power lines and damaged substations, cutting electricity to hundreds of thousands of people and exposing how vulnerable the Kremlin’s grip on the region has become. The scale of the outages, and the locations hit, underline that energy infrastructure is now as contested as any trench line.

The drone campaign is not just about battlefield tactics, it is about leverage. By knocking out power in occupied territory while Russia continues to bombard Ukrainian grids, Kyiv is signaling that the costs of occupation will keep rising and that Moscow cannot shield its rear areas from the kind of disruption it has inflicted on the rest of Ukraine.

The strike that darkened the occupied south

Russian-installed authorities in the south describe a sudden, coordinated attack that ripped through the region’s power system. In a message on Telegram, occupation figure Yevgeny Balitsky said that nearly 400 settlements lost electricity after drones damaged high-voltage lines and other critical equipment. Russian officials have blamed the outages on a deliberate Ukrainian army operation, describing it as part of a broader campaign to hit energy infrastructure behind the front.

Those same officials say more than 200,000 homes in Russian-occupied southern Ukraine were left without power as a result of the strikes, a figure that suggests a significant share of the civilian population is affected. The attacks, which Ukrainian officials have framed as a response to Russia’s own systematic targeting of Ukrainian grids, also forced Moscow’s energy managers to reroute supplies and increase electricity imports to stabilize the system. For residents, the immediate reality is far simpler: lights out, heating systems stalled, and a renewed sense that the war can reach them even far from the front line.

Zaporizhzhia, Kherson and the geography of vulnerability

The outages are concentrated in areas that Russia seized early in the full-scale invasion and has tried to fold into its administrative and economic orbit. Parts of the occupied Zaporizhzhia Region, already home to Europe’s largest nuclear plant, rely on a fragile web of transmission lines that snake across contested territory. When drones slice through those lines or hit transformer yards, the impact cascades quickly, forcing rolling blackouts and emergency load shedding that can stretch for days.

To the west, the occupied parts of the Kherson Region sit at the edge of the Dnipro River, where Ukrainian artillery and drones already harass Russian logistics. Hitting power infrastructure there compounds the pressure on Russian forces that depend on stable electricity for command posts, air defenses and depots. It also undercuts Moscow’s narrative that annexed territories are being steadily integrated and rebuilt, replacing that message with the more immediate experience of cold apartments and dead phone chargers.

Crimea and the widening drone war

The latest strikes fit into a broader Ukrainian effort to stretch Russian defenses across a vast occupied arc, from the lower Dnipro to the Crimean Peninsula. Crimea, which Russia has used as a launchpad for missile and drone attacks on Ukrainian cities, has itself been repeatedly targeted by Ukrainian drones and missiles that seek to disrupt air bases, depots and the bridges that tie the peninsula to mainland Russia. Each new wave of attacks forces Moscow to divert more air defense systems and electronic warfare units to protect rear areas that once seemed secure.

Russian officials also reported that drones struck deeper into the Russian Federation, including in the Caucasus region, underscoring how the conflict’s geography is expanding. In Russia’s Caucasus mountains, Ukrainian drones were reported to have wounded two children and an adult, and damaged a residential building. That building, in the town of Beslan, had to be evacuated, with Seventy people moved out after the blast tore into its roof and windows, according to Gov accounts cited by Russian authorities. The message from Kyiv is clear: rear areas that support the war effort are now fair game.

Winter, civilians and the charge of “weaponizing” the cold

Both sides have accused the other of turning winter into a weapon, and the latest strikes will only intensify that argument. Russian officials say the drone attacks on occupied southern Ukraine are aimed at terrorizing civilians by cutting heat and light in the coldest months, a charge they frame as proof that Kyiv is indifferent to the humanitarian cost. Ukrainian leaders counter that Russia has spent two winters pounding Ukrainian power plants and substations, a campaign that Western officials have described as weaponizing winter against the entire country.

On the ground, the humanitarian picture is grim on both sides of the front. In the occupied south, families are scrambling for generators, candles and firewood as they wait for repairs to what Russian-installed administrators describe as heavily damaged grids. In government-held areas, Ukrainians are bracing for renewed Russian missile and drone barrages that have already left Damaged Russian military vehicles on display in city centers as symbols of resistance but have also repeatedly knocked out power and heating. I see a grim symmetry in this cycle: each side justifies its own strikes as retaliation while civilians, whether in Zaporizhzhia, Kherson or the Russian Caucasus, navigate the same dark stairwells and freezing rooms.

Escalation risks and what comes next

The drone blitz on occupied infrastructure raises hard questions about escalation and the future of the war’s energy front. Russian commentators are already urging the Kremlin to respond with even more aggressive strikes on Ukrainian grids, arguing that only overwhelming force can deter Kyiv from hitting targets behind Russian lines. At the same time, Ukrainian officials in KYIV insist that they are acting within their rights to disrupt an occupying army’s logistics, especially after repeated Russian attacks on civilian infrastructure across Ukraine. The risk is that each new strike normalizes energy systems as legitimate targets, eroding long-standing norms that sought to shield civilian utilities from the worst of war.

Strategically, the strikes show how far Ukrainian capabilities have evolved since the early days of the invasion. Long-range Drones now reach deep into occupied territory and even into Russia itself, while Russian air defenses struggle to intercept every low-flying, relatively cheap aircraft. Reports from Jan describe how snow covered, Snow damaged Russian military vehicles are now displayed in downtown Kyiv, a visual reminder of how the conflict has shifted. As the war grinds on, I expect the contest over power lines, substations and transformer yards to become as central to the outcome as any tank battle, with each new blackout in occupied territory signaling that the front line is no longer a simple line on the map but a web of infrastructure under constant threat.

Supporting sources: Ukrainian drone strikes.

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