
Deep beneath our feet, a quiet energy revolution is taking shape. Geologists now argue that naturally occurring hydrogen trapped in rock formations could supply humanity with clean fuel for tens of thousands of years, potentially reshaping the global energy system if it can be tapped at scale. The idea sounds almost fantastical, yet it is grounded in emerging science, new government mapping efforts and a fast‑moving exploration rush that is starting to resemble an underground gold rush.
I see a pattern that is familiar from earlier energy transitions: a once‑obscure resource suddenly looks vast, cheap and strategically vital, but the technology, regulation and business models lag behind the geology. With Earth’s “gold” hydrogen, the stakes are unusually high, because the resource appears both extraordinarily abundant and, in principle, almost perfectly clean at the point of use.
What ‘gold’ hydrogen actually is
At its core, gold hydrogen is simply hydrogen gas that forms naturally in the subsurface and accumulates in geological traps, rather than being manufactured in a plant. In the technical literature it is often described as geologic or natural hydrogen, but the “gold” label reflects its potential value as a low‑cost, low‑carbon fuel that does not require the heavy energy inputs of conventional hydrogen production. One detailed explainer describes how this hydrogen can seep up from reactions between water and iron‑rich rocks, then become trapped in reservoirs much like oil and gas, creating pockets that can be drilled and produced as a standalone resource.
Unlike “grey” hydrogen made from fossil gas or “green” hydrogen made with renewable electricity, gold hydrogen is formed by the planet itself and can, in theory, be extracted with minimal processing. Analysts note that it could be used directly in fuel cells, industrial processes or power generation, and that it might support decentralized energy systems in remote areas that are hard to connect to large grids, a role highlighted in work on what is gold hydrogen. In policy circles, the term has also become shorthand for a form of hydrogen that could sidestep some of the cost and emissions problems that have dogged the broader hydrogen economy so far.
Why scientists think it could last tens of thousands of years
The most eye‑catching claim around gold hydrogen is its sheer scale. Recent modeling suggests that Earth’s crust may contain enough naturally occurring hydrogen to meet global energy demand for tens of thousands of years, assuming a meaningful fraction proves recoverable. One synthesis of emerging research reports that Earth’s crust hides enough of this gas to power the world for “tens of thousands of years,” a conclusion drawn from new estimates of how much hydrogen is generated by geological processes and how it migrates and accumulates in rock formations, as described in work on how Earth’s crust hides enough ‘gold’ hydrogen.
Other researchers have gone further, arguing that this hidden resource could, in principle, power Earth for 170,000 years if the upper end of resource estimates and recovery factors is achieved. That figure, cited in coverage of a hidden source of clean energy could power Earth for 170,000 years, is not a forecast but a way of conveying the magnitude of the theoretical endowment. I read these numbers less as a promise than as a statement of geological possibility: the planet appears to be generating far more hydrogen than anyone previously assumed, and the limiting factor is likely to be technology, economics and environmental safeguards rather than the rock itself.
The USGS map that turned a theory into a prospect
For years, natural hydrogen was treated as a scientific curiosity rather than a serious energy option. That changed when the U.S. Geological Survey began to systematically assess where hydrogen might be generated and trapped underground, and how much of it might be accessible. In a landmark step, the USGS released a first‑ever prospectivity map that evaluates which regions of the United States have the right combination of source rocks, structures and seals to host significant accumulations, an effort described in detail in the USGS prospectivity map for geologic hydrogen.
That mapping work builds on earlier modeling in which USGS scientists, using a conservative range of input values, calculated a mean volume of hydrogen that could supply projected global demand for hundreds of years. The same analysis stressed that this is a resource assessment, not a reserve tally, and that the key challenge is learning how to find and produce these accumulations efficiently, a point underscored in the agency’s discussion of using a conservative range of geological inputs. When I look at these efforts, I see the early stages of a resource play that could follow a similar trajectory to shale gas, where better data and drilling techniques rapidly turned a theoretical resource into a commercial boom.
Giant reserves under at least 30 US states
The USGS work has already yielded some striking regional insights. A first‑of‑its‑kind map of potential hydrogen accumulations indicates that giant reserves of gold hydrogen may be lurking beneath at least 30 U.S. states, including areas that are not traditional oil and gas heartlands. Reporting on this map notes that the same research team previously estimated Earth’s total buried hydrogen reserves at levels that could transform the global energy balance, and that the new analysis, published on the USGS website, translates that global picture into a more granular view of where drillers might actually target, as outlined in coverage of giant reserves of ‘gold’ hydrogen.
In a separate national news release, the USGS described how its prospectivity map assesses regions with the necessary geological conditions, including the presence of iron‑rich minerals that can generate hydrogen when they react with water, and structural traps that can keep the gas from escaping. That work, which is part of a broader geologic hydrogen project page, is summarized in the USGS releases ‘tantalizing’ first report on underground hydrogen, which highlights the survey methods used to combine geological mapping, mineral data and structural analysis. From my perspective, the fact that such a large swath of the continental United States lights up as prospective suggests that natural hydrogen could become a genuinely national resource, not just a niche play in a few basins.
From curiosity to ‘gold rush’
As the science has shifted, so has industry and policy interest. Advocates now talk openly about a “gold rush” for natural hydrogen, with start‑ups and established energy companies racing to stake exploration rights in promising regions. One analysis notes that geologic hydrogen, sometimes referred to as natural hydrogen, is attracting a global rush as hype builds over its clean energy potential, particularly because it is generated by reactions between water and iron‑rich minerals rather than by burning fossil fuels, a dynamic captured in reporting on the geologic hydrogen rush.
Industry groups have started to quantify what this could mean in practical terms. The American Gas Association, for example, has pointed out that in 2023 the world used about 105 m metric tons of hydrogen, and that if all the gold hydrogen the USGS believes might exist in the United States alone could be accessed, it would dwarf current global consumption, a comparison laid out in a discussion of how Well, in 2023 the world used that volume. I read these numbers as a signal that incumbent gas players see natural hydrogen not as a threat but as a potential extension of their business, one that could keep pipelines and storage assets relevant in a decarbonizing world.
How clean is ‘gold’ hydrogen really?
The climate case for gold hydrogen rests on two pillars: low upstream emissions and zero emissions at the point of use. Hydrogen itself, when burned or used in a fuel cell, produces water rather than carbon dioxide, which is why advocates describe it as a clean fuel that can decarbonize sectors like steelmaking, shipping and heavy transport. One overview of the topic explains that gold hydrogen is hydrogen gas that occurs naturally in the subsurface and can be extracted without the large energy inputs and associated emissions of conventional production, and that it therefore has a distinctive role in clean energy if managed carefully.
At the same time, the environmental ledger is not automatically perfect. A detailed explainer on what is gold hydrogen notes that while the gas itself is clean at the point of use, the overall footprint depends on how it is extracted, transported and integrated into energy systems, and that it could be particularly valuable in decentralized systems serving remote areas that currently rely on diesel, as discussed in the analysis of What is gold hydrogen. I see a clear lesson from other energy booms: the climate benefits will hinge on strict control of leaks, careful management of co‑produced gases and robust regulation of drilling and surface infrastructure.
The extraction challenge beneath the hype
Turning theoretical resources into usable energy is never straightforward, and gold hydrogen is no exception. Engineers are still working out how to locate, drill and produce natural hydrogen in a way that is technically reliable and commercially viable. One technical assessment describes how extracting gold hydrogen requires adapting drilling and completion techniques from oil and gas, while also dealing with the unique properties of hydrogen, including its tendency to escape through tiny leaks and its interactions with metals, a set of issues explored in a piece on extracting gold hydrogen as a clean and abundant energy source.
There are also geological uncertainties. A technical review of natural hydrogen exploration notes that recent research indicates the translation of geological potential into commercially usable resources is far from guaranteed, and that more pilot projects are needed to understand flow rates, reservoir behavior and long‑term sustainability, as highlighted in the discussion of natural hydrogen, the next frontier. When I weigh these factors, I see a resource that is geologically promising but still technologically immature, with a risk that early wells disappoint if expectations are not grounded in careful science.
Risks, co‑produced gases and environmental safeguards
Even if the hydrogen itself is clean, the subsurface context can introduce complications. Natural hydrogen is often found alongside other gases, including methane, which is a super‑powerful greenhouse gas that can cause major harm if it leaks from operations. One analysis of the emerging underground hydrogen race notes that geologic hydrogen is frequently associated with methane and other hydrocarbons, and that the real problem is not the hydrogen but the emissions profile of the overall operation if those co‑produced gases are not captured or managed, a concern spelled out in a piece on why the next energy race is for underground hydrogen.
There is also the question of how drilling and production might affect local environments, water resources and seismicity. A detailed geological overview notes that reservoirs of hydrogen gas that accumulate in the crust could be significant, but that scientists are still learning how these systems recharge and how best to mine them without causing unintended consequences, as discussed in work showing how Earth’s crust hides enough ‘gold’ hydrogen to power the world for long periods. From my vantage point, the lesson is clear: if gold hydrogen is to live up to its climate promise, regulators and operators will need to treat it less like a miracle fuel and more like a complex industrial activity that demands rigorous oversight.
Where gold hydrogen fits in the wider energy transition
Even if only a fraction of the theoretical resource proves recoverable, gold hydrogen could reshape the economics of the hydrogen economy. Cheap, naturally occurring hydrogen would lower the cost of decarbonizing hard‑to‑abate sectors and could complement renewable electricity rather than compete with it. One overview of the topic argues that new geological research suggests cheap and plentiful supplies of naturally occurring hydrogen could provide a near limitless supply of clean fuel, producing nothing but water when used, a framing captured in the discussion of New geological research on gold hydrogen.
At the same time, I do not see gold hydrogen as a silver bullet that replaces the need for renewables, efficiency or other low‑carbon technologies. A technical review of natural hydrogen exploration emphasizes that the translation of geological potential into commercial supply will take time, and that natural hydrogen should be viewed as one piece of a broader clean energy portfolio rather than a single solution, a point echoed in the Apr, What discussion of how it can support decentralized systems. If policymakers and investors treat it as a complement to, rather than a substitute for, other climate tools, Earth’s “gold” hydrogen could extend the runway for a stable, low‑carbon energy system for many generations.
More from MorningOverview