Morning Overview

Analysts say Iran’s missile tactics are targeting air-defense sensors

Iran is deliberately striking the radar systems that allow the United States and its allies to detect and track incoming missiles, according to multiple defense analysts and recent reporting. The tactic represents a significant shift from the mass salvos Tehran launched in 2024, when sheer volume was the primary tool for overwhelming air defenses. Now, by aiming directly at the sensors themselves, Iran appears to be trying to blind the defensive network before the next wave of projectiles arrives.

From Saturation to Sensor Hunting

The evolution in Iranian missile strategy can be traced through two distinct phases. The first came on April 13 and 14, 2024, when Iran launched more than 300 air threats that included medium-range ballistic missiles, land-attack cruise missiles, and unmanned aerial vehicles. Those weapons were fired from Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Yemen, forcing defenders to track threats arriving from multiple directions simultaneously. Pentagon Press Secretary Air Force Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder confirmed the scale and composition of the attack in a briefing.

That barrage tested the limits of layered air defense through volume and geographic spread. IDF spokesman Daniel Hagari stated that Israel intercepted 99% of the drones and missiles Iran launched. U.S. warships in the Eastern Mediterranean contributed to the defense effort, with destroyers engaging both UAVs and ballistic missiles. The high interception rate, however, may have taught Tehran an uncomfortable lesson: raw numbers alone could not punch through a coalition defense that had advance warning and sufficient sensor coverage.

Why Radars Became the Target

The logic behind attacking sensors rather than simply adding more missiles to a salvo is straightforward. Air-defense systems like Patriot and Aegis depend on radar to detect threats at range, classify them, and guide interceptors to their targets. Destroy or degrade the radar, and the interceptor batteries become far less effective, regardless of how many missiles they hold in reserve. A Council on Foreign Relations assessment of Iranian capabilities has emphasized Tehran’s focus on “precise mass” (combining accuracy with large numbers of drones and missiles), which naturally extends to targeting the sensors that make modern defenses viable.

As of early March 2026, Iran had hit several radar systems in the Middle East, degrading the ability of the United States and its allies to track incoming missiles. Reporting from the Jerusalem Post indicated that in the first few days of combined Israeli-U.S. operations against Iran, Iranian ballistic missiles destroyed U.S. radars. The targeting was not random. It reflected a deliberate effort to remove the eyes of the defense network before pressing an attack against the assets those radars were designed to protect.

Mixed Salvos and Electronic Disruption

Iran is not relying on a single method. Reporting describes a combination of missile volleys, drone swarms, and electronic disruption being used to test the network protecting American bases and Gulf allies. The goal is not necessarily to destroy every target in a single strike but to find and widen gaps in coverage. Each method stresses a different part of the defensive chain: drones force radars to track slow, low-altitude objects; ballistic missiles demand rapid high-altitude engagement; and electronic interference can degrade the data links connecting sensors to shooters.

Wall Street Journal reporting has described Iranian adaptations in strike packages, including changes to timing, azimuth, and salvo composition designed to exploit air-defense engagement limits. By varying the angle and speed of incoming threats, Iran can force a radar to switch tracking modes or divide its attention between fast ballistic objects and slower cruise missiles. That kind of tactical mixing is harder to counter than a uniform wave of identical weapons, because each threat type demands a different interceptor and a different radar mode.

The 2024 Precedent and Its Limits

The April 2024 attack offers a useful baseline for understanding what has changed. The salvo of more than 300 drones and missiles, which included drones, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles, was the largest direct Iranian strike against Israel. The 99% interception rate was widely cited as proof that layered defense works. But that success depended on a coalition effort involving U.S. Navy destroyers, allied air forces, and extensive early warning from space-based and ground-based sensors.

The interception rate also masked a critical vulnerability. If those same sensors had been degraded before the salvo arrived, the outcome would likely have been very different. A handful of radars taken offline can create blind spots large enough for cruise missiles or low-flying drones to slip through. Iran’s more recent focus on those radars suggests it has drawn precisely this conclusion and is now trying to ensure that any future large-scale strike begins with a blow against the defensive network itself.

Pressure on U.S. and Allied Defenses

The new Iranian approach is particularly challenging for U.S. and allied forces that depend on a relatively small number of high-value radar sites. Fixed long-range radars, often positioned on exposed terrain to maximize coverage, are difficult to hide and costly to replace. Once their locations are known, they become attractive targets for precision ballistic missiles. A successful strike can instantly reduce the defended footprint of an entire region, forcing commanders to choose which bases, population centers, or critical infrastructure to prioritize.

In parallel, Iran and its partners have continued to refine drone tactics. According to reporting on Iranian-backed groups, low-cost UAVs have been used repeatedly to probe defenses and harass U.S. positions in Iraq and Syria. These smaller attacks serve as live-fire experiments, revealing how quickly radars respond, which sectors appear weaker, and how defenders prioritize targets when confronted with mixed threats.

Analysts note that Tehran’s investment in unmanned systems predates the current radar campaign. A detailed study of Iran’s missile forces highlighted the country’s growing inventory of cruise missiles and drones, which can fly evasive routes and approach from unexpected directions. When combined with ballistic strikes on key sensors, these systems give Iran multiple ways to stress and potentially fracture even sophisticated air-defense networks.

Adapting to a Blinding Strategy

For the United States and its partners, countering a strategy built around blinding radars requires both technical and operational changes. One response is to disperse sensors, relying more heavily on mobile radars that can change location frequently and present a moving target. Another is to integrate additional data from space-based and airborne platforms, so that the loss of any single ground radar does not create an exploitable gap.

Defenders are also likely to place greater emphasis on hardening critical sites against missile attack, including the use of decoys to confuse Iranian targeting. If Tehran cannot be sure which radar is real and which is a dummy, its ability to surgically dismantle the network diminishes. At the same time, the need to protect scarce high-end interceptors may drive more investment in cheaper systems and electronic warfare tools that can disrupt or spoof incoming weapons before they reach their targets.

A More Dangerous Next Round

The shift from simple saturation strikes to deliberate sensor hunting marks a new and more dangerous phase in the contest between Iran and the U.S.-led defensive architecture in the Middle East. The April 2024 attack showed that, given time and intact sensors, a coalition of advanced militaries can intercept the vast majority of incoming threats. Iran’s subsequent campaign against radars is an attempt to ensure that, in any future confrontation, those conditions do not exist.

Whether this effort will succeed remains uncertain, but the trend line is clear: Tehran is learning from each exchange, adjusting its mix of missiles, drones, and electronic tools to probe and exploit weaknesses. For U.S. forces and regional allies, staying ahead of that learning curve will require not just more interceptors, but a more resilient sensor network that can survive the opening blows of the next round and continue to see what is coming.

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*This article was researched with the help of AI, with human editors creating the final content.